The Great Depression on Steroids?

If you've been paying attention to the crude oil market over the last couple of days, alarm bells should be going off in your head. Yesterday, the May futures contract dropped below $0.  That contract was set to expire today, so anyone who was short futures today were contractually obligated to deliver oil. The problem [...]

By |2020-04-21T22:40:34-04:00April 21st, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , , , |0 Comments

Did Covid-19 hit California, the west coast, and some southern states last fall?

There is some growing evidence that the Coronavirus (Covid-19) arrived in the U.S. as early as last Fall.  If that is the case, many people have already built up immunity. A few days ago, I shared an article on Facebook that discussed how the virus may have hit Washington state last November.  This article was shared [...]

By |2020-04-09T18:04:45-04:00April 9th, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , , |0 Comments

Re-open small businesses, now!

After the recommendation that people stay home from work for a couple of weeks to slow the spread of coronavirus, state governments jumped in with orders to close most non-essential businesses. It is very well possible that this type of cure could be worse than the ailment itself. President Trump just indicated that he is aware [...]

By |2020-03-23T09:02:09-04:00March 23rd, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , |0 Comments

The case against a lengthy small business shutdown due to Coronavirus

I pay my bills as a commercial real estate appraiser, a business I've participated in since 1989. By now, I've been through a few recessions... the S&L crisis from 1989-1991, the bursting of the dot.com bubble (2000-2003), the Great Recession of 2007-2009, and the current Coronavirus mess. Each of these had their own characteristics and [...]

By |2020-03-20T21:07:37-04:00March 20th, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , , , |0 Comments

The China-Italy connection

Much has been written about the troubles Italy has had in dealing with the Wuhan coronavirus.  Yet, little has been written about why there has been such a severe outbreak in Italy.As of 2013, at least half of the textile manufactures in the Prato Industrial district outside of Florence, one of the hubs of the Italian [...]

By |2020-03-20T18:12:23-04:00March 18th, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , , |0 Comments

Some thoughts on the stock market, economy, coronavirus, politics

Well, it's been an unbelievable couple of weeks. Could anyone have imagined a month ago that there would be a run on toilet paper because of a flu like pandemic sweeping the globe? Could anyone have imagined a month ago that the NBA and NHL would suspend their seasons, the PGA Tour would postpone events, [...]

By |2020-03-17T08:34:02-04:00March 14th, 2020|Categories: Opinion|Tags: , , , , |0 Comments

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